Terminal preview · example views
Inside the Terminal.
RegimeSignal™ is full-cycle S&P 500 foresight — bull, bear, and every turn in between. A guided look at how subscribers see the market through the Terminal — the daily market call, the four early warning signals, the velocity gauges, and the regime history that frames every read.
The market's next chapter — before it's written.
Active Regime · S&P 500 · Mar 14, 2025
LiveBull Fading
Bull momentum is fading. Warning signs are getting harder to ignore. — caution increasing.
HybridBrain Risk
5.98 Elevated
3-AI council + Developer · developer 6.8
Watching For
Correction more likely
Conditions deteriorating · a dip is more probable now
Posture
Stay engaged · review exposure
No signal firing yet · prepare for possible turn
· Live Market Intelligence
3-AI council + Developer · refreshed every 15 minFour Early-Warning Signals · Full Market Cycle
PULLBACK
−5% drawdown risk
Quiet
Probability 0.42
MBS T1 · 83% precision
CORRECTION
−10% drawdown ahead
Watching
Probability 0.31
MBS T2 · 84% precision
BEAR MARKET
−20% regime forming
Quiet
Composite 18
BRS · 86% precision
RECOVERY
+10% bull confirmed
Not yet
Probability 0.32
RRS · 82% precision
Cycle position · You are here
5 phases · liveBEAR
−20%+
UNDERPERFORM
−10% correction
WATCHING
−5% pullback risk
You are here
BULL
Constructive
OUTPERFORM
+10% recovery
Today's note
Bull Velocity has decelerated for three consecutive reads as breadth narrows beneath the index. MBS T2 watch is elevated and BRS is armed but unconfirmed. Posture: hold, tighten risk, await confirmation or reset.
Model reading —
Next refresh —
Pullback −5%
MBS-T1 · 4-month window · fires ≥ 0.66
— % accuracy · 95% CI [—,—%]
0.42
OOS 154 mo · v15.1
QuietCorrection −10%
MBS-T2 · 4-month window · fires ≥ 0.50
— % accuracy · 95% CI [—,—%]
0.31
OOS 154 mo · v15.1
WatchBear market −20%
BRS · 2-layer · alert 4 of 22 with ≥2 breach
— % accuracy · 95% CI [—,—%]
18.4
composite · OOS 304 mo · v15.3
QuietRecovery +10%
RRS · 4-month window · fires ≥ 0.73
— % accuracy · 95% CI [—,—%]
0.32
OOS 154 mo · v15.2
N/A
HybridBrain Risk · 90 days
Daily consensus
5.50
Daily HybridBrain consensus over the past 90 days
Directional pressure
Live gauges
Economic Health
vs bull-avg 75 · ▲ +6
81 / 100
Strong
Composite of 6 macro indicators · live · not a validated signal
▲ Economic Health Index — Contextual Indicator (not part of Bull Velocity signal) ▼
Bull Velocity · Active
Fading
Bear Regime Signal · factor direction
helpers up · hurters down
Market prediction · factor direction
helpers up · hurters down
Bull market duration · Historical context
live · S&P 500 cycle anchors
How long the current bull market has run versus the historical average and the longest bull on record.
Average = 1,742 days across post-1926 S&P 500 bull markets · longest = 3,453 days (Oct 1990 – Mar 2000, dot-com bull). Current bull derived from cycle_context.cycle_start_label or bull_duration_months.
S&P 500 CAPE Shiller · Historical context
live · research defaults pending
Where the current 10-year cyclically adjusted P/E (CAPE) sits versus historical regime averages. Higher CAPE = richer valuation, less downside cushion.
CAPE = price ÷ trailing 10-year inflation-adjusted earnings (Shiller). Bar widths scaled 0–40× CAPE. All values from server data — current from FRED/Shiller feed, historical anchors from model-facts file.
RegimeSignal™ · Daily News & Model Market Brief
AI-generated news digest · what could move the BRS score
Market events · economic releases · earnings · geopolitics — filtered through the 3-AI council + Developer overlay.
Sample · Today's digest preview
4 items · auto-curated- MACRO
CPI print at 8:30 ET · core sticky-services in focus
A hot print pressures the BRS confirmation path; a soft print eases MBS T2 watch.
- RATES
10Y yield drifting toward range top
Sustained move >4.6% historically coincides with Bull Velocity deceleration prints.
- EARNINGS
Mega-cap guidance week · breadth divergence widening
Equal-weight underperformance is one of four BRS preconditions — already present.
- GEO · ERI
Exogenous risk index nudged 5.98 → 6.02
Council consensus: elevated, not acute. No standalone signal — feeds HybridBrain™ overlay.
Digests are educational signal context · not investment advice
Example layout · figures illustrative · not current market data
Early warning, before consensus.
The RegimeSignal™ framework — four walk-forward validated prediction signals and Bull / Bear Velocity gauges for the S&P 500. Not yet publicly available — join the waitlist to be notified when subscriptions open.
Important disclosures
All views shown on this page are examples of past market calls and interface layouts. They are not interactive and do not reflect current market data, the live model state, or today's RegimeSignal™signals.
Live readings, the daily market call, current signal states, Bull / Bear Velocity, and HybridBrain™ exogenous risk are available to active subscribers only. A one-week free trial provides full access to the live model.
RegimeSignal™ is a market intelligence and research product. It is not investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or a solicitation of any kind. All precision, false-positive, and forward-window figures are derived from walk-forward validation and describe historical signal behaviour; they do not guarantee future results.