Institutional-grade · open to all
Institutional intelligence,
without the institutional gate.
RegimeSignal™ delivers the kind of full-cycle market intelligence that has historically lived inside institutional research desks — proprietary S&P 500 cycle work, walk-forward validated early warning market signals, and HybridBrain™ exogenous‑event detection (AI + HI).
Proprietary S&P 500 cycle research
Original cycle work mapping bull, weakening, correction, and recovery regimes against 33+ years of S&P 500 history — with calibration and analogs you don't find in retail tools.
Daily & weekly briefs
Daily market call from the live model and weekly research briefs that frame the regime, the signals, and the watch triggers — written from the model's reading, not from narrative.
HybridBrain™ — AI + HI
An AI + human-intelligence (HI) layer designed to catch exogenous events — geopolitical shocks, supply chain breaks, pandemics — that pure quant models systematically miss.
Every subscriber gets the same model, the same data, and the same research.
The exogenous-event problem
Where most models fail.
Quant models read what markets are pricing — yield curves, credit spreads, earnings revisions, breadth, volatility. They cannot read what markets have not yet seen: a shipping lane closing, a regional war escalating, a grid going down, a pandemic emerging.
HybridBrain™ is RegimeSignal™'s third intelligence layer. Three independent AI scanners (Anthropic, Gemini, Perplexity) score live exogenous risk across nine canonical categories. A 30-year investment veteran judgment overlay — MBA, CFA, Economics degrees — sits on top: a deliberate, logged decision, not a black box.
The output adjusts state interpretation when the world moves faster than the data. It does not invent bear calls; it amplifies deterioration already present and accelerates recovery scoring once exogenous risk resolves.
Once locked behind institutional walls. Now on equal footing.
What's in the model
The full institutional stack.
Four validated signals
Bear Regime Signal, Market Break Tier 1 (pullback), Tier 2 (correction), and Regime Recovery Signal — walk-forward validated classifier signals, refit on a regular cadence.
Bull / Bear Velocity
Continuous directional gauges (Bull Velocity Engine (BWS) / BES) describing the developing strength of the prevailing regime in real time.
Bull Health Tracker
0–100 health gauge for an active bull, calibrated against 33 years of bull history with floor / median / peak context.
Model DNA & factors
Full per-signal factor universe, live FRED + market feeds, top drivers today, and 1 / 3 / 6 / 12-month deltas for every input.
Daily market call
Live state of the model — regime, direction, health, active classifiers, and a plain-English read for the day.
Weekly research briefs
Original cycle research and watch-trigger updates published on a weekly cadence, written from the model's reading.
HybridBrain™ ERI
Exogenous Risk Index — three-AI consensus plus 30-year investment veteran judgment (MBA, CFA, Economics), scored across nine canonical risk categories.
Regime history & analogs
Trailing regime states, prior calls with forward outcomes, and closest historical analogs for today's profile.
Methodology & validation
Walk-forward OOS results with sample sizes, AUC, precision, and false-positive rates per signal — built for due diligence.
The thesis
One model. The whole cycle. No filter.
Institutional-grade market intelligence shouldn't be reserved for institutions. Every RegimeSignal™ subscriber sees the same proprietary cycle work, the same walk-forward validated prediction signals, the same HybridBrain™ overlay, and the same daily and weekly research.
Data integrity
24 authoritative Federal Reserve series plus six live market, sentiment, and news feeds — transparently sourced, refreshed every market day, no proprietary black-box inputs you can't trace.
Important note
RegimeSignal™ is a market intelligence and research product. It is not investment advice, a trading system, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All results are derived from walk-forward validation and describe historical signal behaviour; they do not guarantee future results.
Early warning, before consensus.
The RegimeSignal™ framework — four walk-forward validated prediction signals and Bull / Bear Velocity gauges for the S&P 500. Not yet publicly available — join the waitlist to be notified when subscriptions open.